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1198 points•851 comments•2w ago•by milkglass•techtrenches.dev ↗

The West forgot how to make things, now it’s forgetting how to code

The piece argues that defense and software capabilities hinge on deep, decades-spanning tacit knowledge, and that once experienced workers retire, rebuilding capacity can take years—evidenced by Stinger production restart, Europe’s artillery shell delays, and the Fogbank episode. It also notes that money and AI cannot compress this timeline, citing a MET randomized trial showing AI tools slowed experienced developers, and highlighting ongoing hiring bottlenecks and the need for senior engineers who understand end-to-end systems.

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